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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 45.5%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 26.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Plaza Colonia win it was 0-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensor Sporting would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Plaza Colonia |
45.5% ( 0.01) | 28.48% ( 0) | 26.02% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 43.02% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.47% ( -0.02) | 62.53% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.87% ( -0.01) | 82.12% ( 0.01) |
| Defensor Sporting Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.46% ( -0.01) | 27.54% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.95% ( -0.01) | 63.05% ( 0.01) |
| Plaza Colonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.37% ( -0.02) | 40.63% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.77% ( -0.02) | 77.22% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Plaza Colonia |
| 1-0 @ 14.42% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.3% ( 0)2-1 @ 8.38% ( -0)3-0 @ 4% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.6% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.71% Total : 45.49% | 1-1 @ 12.99% 0-0 @ 11.18% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.77% ( -0)Other @ 0.52% Total : 28.47% | 0-1 @ 10.07% 1-2 @ 5.85% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.54% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.76% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.36% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 1.3% Total : 26.01% |
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