SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 37.46%. A win for Penarol had a probability of 35.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Penarol win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%).
| Result | ||
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Penarol |
37.46% ( 0.03) | 26.84% ( -0.31) | 35.7% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 51.41% ( 1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.26% ( 1.25) | 53.74% ( -1.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.78% ( 1.05) | 75.22% ( -1.05) |
| Defensor Sporting Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.22% ( 0.62) | 27.77% ( -0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.65% ( 0.79) | 63.35% ( -0.79) |
| Penarol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.17% ( 0.79) | 28.82% ( -0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.32% ( 0.97) | 64.68% ( -0.97) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Penarol |
| 1-0 @ 10.25% ( -0.33) 2-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 3.49% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.88% Total : 37.45% | 1-1 @ 12.75% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 8.01% ( -0.4)2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.15)Other @ 1% Total : 26.83% | 0-1 @ 9.96% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 7.94% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.11)1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.62% Total : 35.7% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
