SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Progreso win with a probability of 50.99%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Fenix had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Progreso win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.26%) and 1-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Fenix win it was 1-0 (8.35%).
| Result | ||
| Fenix | Draw | Progreso |
22.6% ( -0.16) | 26.4% ( 0.24) | 50.99% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 45.34% ( -0.82) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.05% ( -0.98) | 57.95% ( 0.98) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.35% ( -0.78) | 78.65% ( 0.78) |
| Fenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.77% ( -0.72) | 41.23% ( 0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.24% ( -0.65) | 77.76% ( 0.65) |
| Progreso Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.15% ( -0.44) | 22.84% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.43% ( -0.66) | 56.57% ( 0.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fenix | Draw | Progreso |
| 1-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 3.7% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.21% Total : 22.6% | 1-1 @ 12.32% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 9.42% ( 0.35)2-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.64% Total : 26.4% | 0-1 @ 13.9% ( 0.33) 0-2 @ 10.26% ( 0.11)1-2 @ 9.1% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 5.05% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.48% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 1.87% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.69% Total : 50.98% |
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