SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 51.25%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 23.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 0-1 (7.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
51.25% ( -0.84) | 25.24% ( 0.3) | 23.51% ( 0.53) |
| Both teams to score 49.57% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.07% ( -0.68) | 52.92% ( 0.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.47% ( -0.58) | 74.53% ( 0.58) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.34% ( -0.62) | 20.66% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.76% ( -0.98) | 53.24% ( 0.98) |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.48% ( 0.12) | 37.52% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.69% ( 0.12) | 74.3% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
| 1-0 @ 12.22% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 9.64% ( -0.11)2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 4.97% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 2% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.55% Total : 51.24% | 1-1 @ 11.98% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.88% Total : 25.24% | 0-1 @ 7.6% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.51% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.66% Total : 23.51% |
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