Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 27.23% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-0 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%).
