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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 42.44%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
42.44% ( -0.07) | 28.25% ( 0.01) | 29.32% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 45.54% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.67% ( -0.01) | 60.33% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.51% ( -0.01) | 80.49% ( 0.01) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.89% ( -0.04) | 28.12% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.21% ( -0.05) | 63.79% ( 0.06) |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.35% ( 0.04) | 36.65% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.56% ( 0.04) | 73.44% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 13.07% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.52% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.51% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.72% Total : 42.43% | 1-1 @ 13.12% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.3% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.18% ( 0)Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.24% | 0-1 @ 10.34% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.59% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0)Other @ 1.86% Total : 29.31% |
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