SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 42.64%. A win for Progreso has a probability of 32.05% and a draw has a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Progreso win is 1-0 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.97%).
| Result | ||
| Progreso | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
32.05% ( -1.17) | 25.31% ( -0.17) | 42.64% ( 1.34) |
| Both teams to score 55.63% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.05% ( 0.41) | 47.95% ( -0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.87% ( 0.37) | 70.12% ( -0.37) |
| Progreso Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.71% ( -0.55) | 28.29% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.99% ( -0.69) | 64.01% ( 0.7) |
| Defensor Sporting Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.58% ( 0.83) | 22.42% ( -0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.06% ( 1.22) | 55.94% ( -1.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Progreso | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
| 1-0 @ 8.01% ( -0.26) 2-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.18)2-0 @ 5.06% ( -0.25)3-1 @ 3.18% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.73% Total : 32.05% | 1-1 @ 11.97% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.34% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.3% | 0-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.95% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 7.09% ( 0.23)1-3 @ 4.46% ( 0.18)0-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.2)2-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.11)0-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.1)2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.26% Total : 42.64% |
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