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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 8
Sep 22, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch

Cardiff MU
1 - 5
New Saints

Clubb (35')
Vincent (31'), McCarthy (37'), Lewis (44'), Craven (75')
Evans (86')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Williams (16'), Young (24', 26'), Clark (69'), Brobbel (87' pen.)
Hudson (42'), Daniels (57'), Young (63')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Cardiff MU and The New Saints.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Connah's Quay 4-0 Cardiff MU
Saturday, September 16 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: New Saints 5-1 Haverfordwest
Saturday, September 16 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 70.31%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 10.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (14.06%) and 0-3 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.94%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 1-0 (4.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
Cardiff MUDrawThe New Saints
10.49% (0.0099999999999998 0.01) 19.2% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 70.31% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 40.9% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.97% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)50.03% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.99% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)72.01% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.04% (0.012999999999998 0.01)52.96% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.37% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)86.62% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.96% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)13.04% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.4% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)39.6% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff MU 10.49%
    The New Saints 70.29%
    Draw 19.2%
Cardiff MUDrawThe New Saints
1-0 @ 4.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 2.84% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-0 @ 1.4% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 10.49%
1-1 @ 8.94% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 6.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 2.9% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 19.2%
0-2 @ 14.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 14.06%
0-3 @ 9.73% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.11% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 6.19% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-4 @ 4.96% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-4 @ 3.15% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-5 @ 2.02% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 1.97%
1-5 @ 1.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 70.29%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Connah's Quay 4-0 Cardiff MU
Saturday, September 16 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Cardiff MU 2-0 Pontypridd
Friday, September 8 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Newtown 2-1 Cardiff MU
Friday, September 1 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 0-0 Cardiff MU
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Cardiff MU 1-0 Colwyn Bay
Saturday, August 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Cardiff MU 0-0 Bala Town
Saturday, August 19 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: New Saints 5-1 Haverfordwest
Saturday, September 16 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Bala Town 0-0 New Saints
Wednesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Hibernian U21s 0-3 New Saints
Friday, September 8 at 6pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: New Saints 6-0 Aberystwyth
Friday, September 1 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Colwyn Bay 0-1 New Saints
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: New Saints 2-2 Barry
Saturday, August 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League


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