Women's European Championship | Group Stage
Jul 18, 2022 at 8pm UK
Academy Stadium
We said: Italy Women 2-1 Belgium Women
Although Italy are yet to win at Euro 2022, they showed promise in the draw against Iceland, and we think they will edge out a Belgium side that are five places lower than them in the FIFA World Rankings.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Women win with a probability of 51.04%. A win for Belgium Women had a probability of 24.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Belgium Women win was 0-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result |
| Italy Women | Draw | Belgium Women |
51.04% ( 0.09) | 24.25% ( 0.01) | 24.7% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 53.87% ( -0.13) |
| 52.13% ( -0.13) | 47.87% ( 0.12) |
| 29.95% ( -0.12) | 70.05% ( 0.11) |
| 81.24% ( -0.02) | 18.76% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.84% ( -0.02) | 50.15% ( 0.02) |
| 66.31% ( -0.16) | 33.69% ( 0.15) |
