Belgium have demonstrated great character to claw themselves into the knockout rounds, but we think they will be unable to progress any further, when they came up against a Sweden side who have a habit of reaching European Championship semi-finals.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden Women win with a probability of 61.28%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Belgium Women had a probability of 16.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sweden Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.65%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Belgium Women win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sweden Women in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sweden Women.
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