SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 70.47%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 13.73%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (8.05%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.42%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 2-1 (3.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Arsenal Women in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Arsenal Women.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa Women | Draw | Arsenal Women |
13.73% ( -1.94) | 15.8% ( -1.11) | 70.47% ( 3.04) |
| Both teams to score 64.39% ( -0.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.8% ( 1.22) | 25.2% ( -1.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.82% ( 1.57) | 45.18% ( -1.57) |
| Aston Villa Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.83% ( -1.45) | 31.17% ( 1.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.5% ( -1.73) | 67.5% ( 1.73) |
| Arsenal Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.55% ( 0.86) | 6.45% ( -0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 75.88% ( 2.31) | 24.13% ( -2.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa Women | Draw | Arsenal Women |
| 2-1 @ 3.74% ( -0.44) 1-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.29)3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.22)3-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.24)2-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.23)Other @ 2.82% Total : 13.73% | 1-1 @ 6.42% ( -0.47) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.34)0-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.42% Total : 15.8% | 1-2 @ 8.8% ( -0.22) 1-3 @ 8.05% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 7.55% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 6.9% ( 0.42)1-4 @ 5.51% ( 0.37)0-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.17)0-4 @ 4.73% ( 0.49)2-3 @ 4.69% ( -0.08)2-4 @ 3.21% ( 0.09)1-5 @ 3.02% ( 0.33)0-5 @ 2.59% ( 0.38)2-5 @ 1.76% ( 0.13)1-6 @ 1.38% ( 0.21)3-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)0-6 @ 1.19% ( 0.22)Other @ 4.32% Total : 70.47% |
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