SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 81.42%. A draw had a probability of 12.3% and a win for West Ham United Women had a probability of 6.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.36%) and 0-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.82%), while for a West Ham United Women win it was 1-0 (2.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| West Ham United Women | Draw | Manchester City Women |
6.29% ( 0.06) | 12.29% ( 0.08) | 81.42% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 45.97% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.53% ( -0.15) | 32.47% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.89% ( -0.17) | 54.11% ( 0.17) |
| West Ham United Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.93% ( 0.07) | 51.07% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.61% ( 0.05) | 85.39% ( -0.05) |
| Manchester City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.96% ( -0.06) | 6.04% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 77.01% ( -0.16) | 22.99% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| West Ham United Women | Draw | Manchester City Women |
| 1-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.26% Total : 6.29% | 1-1 @ 5.82% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.65% Total : 12.29% | 0-2 @ 12.14% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 11.36% ( -0.03)0-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.04)1-2 @ 8.16% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 7.98% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 7.64% 1-4 @ 5.36% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 4.48% ( -0.04)1-5 @ 3.01% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.01)0-6 @ 2.1% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.8% ( -0)1-6 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)2-5 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.74% Total : 81.41% |
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