Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 61.94%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Colombia had a probability of 13.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.36%) and 2-1 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.34%), while for a Colombia win it was 0-1 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 18.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brazil in this match.
