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World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Oct 13, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
VN

Brazil
1 - 1
Venezuela

Magalhaes (50')
Richarlison (56'), Andre (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bello (85')
Herrera (31'), Rincon (33')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Peru 0-1 Brazil
Wednesday, September 13 at 3am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Venezuela 1-0 Paraguay
Tuesday, September 12 at 11pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

We said: Brazil 2-0 Venezuela

Not since October 2015 have Brazil lost a World Cup qualifier and they should have few problems claiming all three points and maintaining their perfect start to qualifying on Friday. Venezuela have built a positive run of form under new boss Batista, but the Selecao should ultimately have too much quality in the final third for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 71.85%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Venezuela had a probability of 10.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.07%) and 3-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.29%), while for a Venezuela win it was 0-1 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
BrazilDrawVenezuela
71.85% (-0.15300000000001 -0.15) 17.44% (0.020999999999997 0.02) 10.71% (0.129 0.13)
Both teams to score 47.29% (0.40199999999999 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.17% (0.279 0.28)41.83% (-0.282 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.77% (0.28100000000001 0.28)64.23% (-0.28399999999999 -0.28)
Brazil Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.7% (0.034999999999997 0.03)10.3% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.28% (0.082000000000008 0.08)33.71% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Venezuela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.71% (0.426 0.43)47.28% (-0.429 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.3% (0.319 0.32)82.7% (-0.322 -0.32)
Score Analysis
    Brazil 71.85%
    Venezuela 10.71%
    Draw 17.44%
BrazilDrawVenezuela
2-0 @ 12.58% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-0 @ 11.07% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-0 @ 9.53% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.42% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 7.14% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
4-0 @ 5.42% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-1 @ 4.06% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.67% (0.043 0.04)
5-0 @ 2.46% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.84% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.52% (0.028 0.03)
6-0 @ 0.93% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 71.85%
1-1 @ 8.29% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.87% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-2 @ 3.53% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 17.44%
0-1 @ 3.65% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 3.11% (0.041 0.04)
0-2 @ 1.37% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 10.71%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Peru 0-1 Brazil
Wednesday, September 13 at 3am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Brazil 5-1 Bolivia
Saturday, September 9 at 1.45am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Brazil 2-4 Senegal
Tuesday, June 20 at 8pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Brazil 4-1 Guinea
Saturday, June 17 at 8.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Morocco 2-1 Brazil
Saturday, March 25 at 10pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Croatia 1-1 Brazil (4-2 pen.)
Friday, December 9 at 3pm in World Cup
Last Game: Venezuela 1-0 Paraguay
Tuesday, September 12 at 11pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Colombia 1-0 Venezuela
Friday, September 8 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Venezuela 1-0 Guatemala
Sunday, June 18 at 9.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Venezuela 1-0 Honduras
Friday, June 16 at 1am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Uzbekistan 1-1 Venezuela
Tuesday, March 28 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 1-2 Venezuela
Friday, March 24 at 7pm in International Friendlies


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