SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Croatia | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 2 | Morocco | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Belgium | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Canada | 2 | -4 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Canada had a probability of 34.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Canada win was 1-0 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Morocco in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Morocco.
| Result | ||
| Canada | Draw | Morocco |
34.24% ( -0.02) | 26.37% ( 0.17) | 39.39% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 52.75% ( -0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.04% ( -0.73) | 51.95% ( 0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.3% ( -0.64) | 73.7% ( 0.63) |
| Canada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.14% ( -0.37) | 28.85% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.28% ( -0.46) | 64.72% ( 0.46) |
| Morocco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.14% ( -0.42) | 25.85% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.17% ( -0.57) | 60.82% ( 0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Canada | Draw | Morocco |
| 1-0 @ 9.27% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 7.79% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.39% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.61% Total : 34.24% | 1-1 @ 12.54% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.37% | 0-1 @ 10.09% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 8.48% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 6.83% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.37% Total : 39.39% |
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