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World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Jun 11, 2024 at 6pm UK
Azadi Stadium
UN

Iran
vs.
Uzbekistan

 

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Hong Kong 2-4 Iran
Thursday, June 6 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Uzbekistan 3-1 Turkmenistan
Thursday, June 6 at 3.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We say: Iran 2-1 Uzbekistan

With the two teams sitting level on 13 points, we think that Tuesday's contest will prove to be a close-fought affair and that Iran will make full use of home advantage to claim a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Iran win with a probability of 46.59%. A win for Uzbekistan has a probability of 28.59% and a draw has a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Uzbekistan win is 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.74%).

Result
IranDrawUzbekistan
46.59% (2.541 2.54) 24.82% (-0.266 -0.27) 28.59% (-2.277 -2.28)
Both teams to score 55.39% (-0.46 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.57% (0.0039999999999978 0)47.43% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.36% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)69.64% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Iran Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.58% (1.129 1.13)20.41% (-1.129 -1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.15% (1.763 1.76)52.85% (-1.764 -1.76)
Uzbekistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.6% (-1.588 -1.59)30.39% (1.586 1.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.41% (-1.933 -1.93)66.59% (1.933 1.93)
Score Analysis
    Iran 46.59%
    Uzbekistan 28.59%
    Draw 24.82%
IranDrawUzbekistan
1-0 @ 9.86% (0.332 0.33)
2-1 @ 9.33% (0.227 0.23)
2-0 @ 7.83% (0.52 0.52)
3-1 @ 4.94% (0.284 0.28)
3-0 @ 4.15% (0.407 0.41)
3-2 @ 2.94% (0.044 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.96% (0.176 0.18)
4-0 @ 1.65% (0.212 0.21)
4-2 @ 1.17% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 46.59%
1-1 @ 11.74% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 6.2% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.82%
0-1 @ 7.39% (-0.334 -0.33)
1-2 @ 6.99% (-0.387 -0.39)
0-2 @ 4.4% (-0.407 -0.41)
1-3 @ 2.78% (-0.286 -0.29)
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.144 -0.14)
0-3 @ 1.75% (-0.248 -0.25)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 28.59%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Hong Kong 2-4 Iran
Thursday, June 6 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Turkmenistan 0-1 Iran
Tuesday, March 26 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Iran 5-0 Turkmenistan
Thursday, March 21 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Iran 2-3 Qatar
Wednesday, February 7 at 3pm in Asian Cup
Last Game: Iran 2-1 Japan
Saturday, February 3 at 11.30am in Asian Cup
Last Game: Iran 1-1 Syria (5-3 pen.)
Wednesday, January 31 at 4pm in Asian Cup
Last Game: Uzbekistan 3-1 Turkmenistan
Thursday, June 6 at 3.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Uzbekistan 3-0 Hong Kong
Tuesday, March 26 at 2.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Hong Kong 0-2 Uzbekistan
Thursday, March 21 at 12pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Qatar 1-1 Uzbekistan (3-2 pen.)
Saturday, February 3 at 3.30pm in Asian Cup
Last Game: Uzbekistan 2-1 Thailand
Tuesday, January 30 at 11.30am in Asian Cup
Last Game: Australia 1-1 Uzbekistan
Tuesday, January 23 at 11.30am in Asian Cup


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