SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 71.49%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Hong Kong had a probability of 10.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.49%) and 3-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%), while for a Hong Kong win it was 0-1 (3.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Iran would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Iran | Draw | Hong Kong |
71.49% ( -0.14) | 17.74% ( 0.09) | 10.77% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 46.42% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.92% ( -0.24) | 43.07% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.52% ( -0.24) | 65.47% ( 0.24) |
| Iran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.27% ( -0.1) | 10.72% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.32% ( -0.23) | 34.67% ( 0.22) |
| Hong Kong Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52% ( -0.06) | 47.99% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.77% ( -0.05) | 83.23% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Iran | Draw | Hong Kong |
| 2-0 @ 12.82% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 11.49% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 9.55% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0)3-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 5.33% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 3.91% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.82% Total : 71.48% | 1-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 3.46% ( -0)Other @ 0.7% Total : 17.74% | 0-1 @ 3.78% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.5% Total : 10.77% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
