Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 52.36%. A win for Liechtenstein had a probability of 24.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.73%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest Liechtenstein win was 1-0 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Romania would win this match.
