Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montenegro win with a probability of 53.42%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 22.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montenegro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 0-1 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montenegro would win this match.
