Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 48.57%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Morocco had a probability of 24.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.54%) and 1-2 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Morocco win it was 1-0 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
0.22) 
-0.36) 
