Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Serbia win with a probability of 36.76%. A win for Republic of Ireland had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 30.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Serbia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.29%) and 1-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Republic of Ireland win was 1-0 (12.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.

Result
Republic of Ireland	Draw	Serbia
32.74%	30.5%	36.76%

Both teams to score 40.71%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.27%

66.73%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.92%

85.08%

Republic of Ireland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.42%

37.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.64%

74.36%

Serbia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.21%

34.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.48%

71.52%

Score Analysis

Republic of Ireland 32.74%

Serbia 36.75%

Draw 30.5%

Republic of Ireland	Draw	Serbia
1-0 @ 12.79% 2-1 @ 6.61% 2-0 @ 6.26% 3-1 @ 2.16% 3-0 @ 2.04% 3-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.74% Total : 32.74%	1-1 @ 13.51% 0-0 @ 13.07% 2-2 @ 3.49% Other @ 0.43% Total : 30.5%	0-1 @ 13.8% 0-2 @ 7.29% 1-2 @ 7.13% 0-3 @ 2.57% 1-3 @ 2.51% 2-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.23% Total : 36.75%