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Old Firm derby: 2 hrs 9 mins
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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 27, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Rajko Mitić
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Serbia
2 - 2
Portugal

Mitrovic (46'), Kostic (60')
Maksimovic (57'), Mitrovic (85')
Milenkovic (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Jota (11', 36')
Fernandes (53'), Fonte (54'), Ronaldo (90+4')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 41.31%. A win for Serbia had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Serbia win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
SerbiaDrawPortugal
33.95%24.74%41.31%
Both teams to score 58.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.16%44.84%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.8%67.2%
Serbia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.39%25.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.51%60.49%
Portugal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.28%21.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.12%54.88%
Score Analysis
    Serbia 33.95%
    Portugal 41.31%
    Draw 24.73%
SerbiaDrawPortugal
2-1 @ 7.88%
1-0 @ 7.58%
2-0 @ 5.16%
3-1 @ 3.58%
3-2 @ 2.73%
3-0 @ 2.34%
4-1 @ 1.22%
4-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 33.95%
1-1 @ 11.56%
2-2 @ 6.02%
0-0 @ 5.56%
3-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.73%
1-2 @ 8.83%
0-1 @ 8.49%
0-2 @ 6.48%
1-3 @ 4.5%
0-3 @ 3.3%
2-3 @ 3.06%
1-4 @ 1.72%
0-4 @ 1.26%
2-4 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 41.31%

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