SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Spain | 1 | 7 | 3 |
| 2 | Japan | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Germany | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Costa Rica | 1 | -7 | 0 |
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Spain | 1 | 7 | 3 |
| 2 | Japan | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Germany | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Costa Rica | 1 | -7 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Germany had a probability of 34.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Germany win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Spain | Draw | Germany |
40.88% ( 0.24) | 24.53% ( 0) | 34.59% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 59.14% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.27% ( -0.05) | 43.73% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.88% ( -0.05) | 66.12% ( 0.05) |
| Spain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.55% ( 0.09) | 21.45% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.53% ( 0.14) | 54.46% ( -0.14) |
| Germany Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.29% ( -0.16) | 24.71% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.74% ( -0.23) | 59.26% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spain | Draw | Germany |
| 2-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.16% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0)Other @ 2.59% Total : 40.88% | 1-1 @ 11.4% 2-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.52% | 1-2 @ 7.97% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.75% Total : 34.59% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
