Saudi Arabia would have taken confidence from Thursday's victory, and we think that they will do enough to edge out Tajikistan for a second game in a row to maintain their 100% record in qualifying.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 53.11%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Tajikistan had a probability of 20.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.17%) and 1-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Tajikistan win it was 1-0 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
-0.06) 
0.03) 
