SM
| Current League A4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Netherlands | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Belgium | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Poland | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 4 | Wales | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| Current League B1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Scotland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Republic of Ireland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Ukraine | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Armenia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Ukraine had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.64%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Ukraine win was 0-1 (11.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Wales in this match.
| Result | ||
| Wales | Draw | Ukraine |
38.31% ( -0.01) | 29.38% ( -0.01) | 32.31% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 43.49% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.65% ( 0.04) | 63.35% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.28% ( 0.03) | 82.71% ( -0.03) |
| Wales Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.99% ( 0.02) | 32.01% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.53% ( 0.02) | 68.47% ( -0.02) |
| Ukraine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.97% ( 0.04) | 36.03% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.19% ( 0.04) | 72.81% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wales | Draw | Ukraine |
| 1-0 @ 13.13% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.64% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.9% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.84% 3-2 @ 1.48% ( 0)Other @ 2.82% Total : 38.3% | 1-1 @ 13.41% 0-0 @ 11.53% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.9% ( 0)Other @ 0.54% Total : 29.38% | 0-1 @ 11.77% 1-2 @ 6.85% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.01% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.33% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.04% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.33% ( 0)Other @ 1.98% Total : 32.3% |
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