SM
| Current League A4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Netherlands | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Belgium | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Poland | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 4 | Wales | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| Current League A4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Netherlands | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Belgium | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Poland | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 4 | Wales | 2 | -2 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 48.99%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Wales had a probability of 23.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.11%) and 1-2 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Wales win it was 1-0 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wales | Draw | Netherlands |
23.44% ( -0.06) | 27.56% ( -0.03) | 48.99% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 43.21% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.83% ( 0.05) | 61.17% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.88% ( 0.04) | 81.12% ( -0.04) |
| Wales Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.75% ( -0.03) | 42.25% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.35% ( -0.03) | 78.65% ( 0.03) |
| Netherlands Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.83% ( 0.06) | 25.17% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.11% ( 0.09) | 59.89% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wales | Draw | Netherlands |
| 1-0 @ 9.16% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 5.45% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.95% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.56% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 1.11% Total : 23.44% | 1-1 @ 12.63% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.63% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.76% ( 0)Other @ 0.54% Total : 27.55% | 0-1 @ 14.66% 0-2 @ 10.11% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 8.72% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.65% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.01% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.11% Total : 48.97% |
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