Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 57.73%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Jahn Regensburg had a probability of 20.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.32%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Jahn Regensburg win it was 1-2 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.