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2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 12
Oct 30, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
Imtech Arena

Hamburger SV
1 - 1
Holstein Kiel

Kittel (12' pen.)
David (74'), Muheim (80'), Wintzheimer (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Pichler (46')
Korb (11'), Lorenz (29'), Holtby (78'), Sander (90+1')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Hamburger SV and Holstein Kiel.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 60%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 19.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.29%) and 1-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Holstein Kiel win it was 1-2 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
Hamburger SVDrawHolstein Kiel
60%20.9%19.1%
Both teams to score 57.19%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.28%39.72%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.92%62.08%
Hamburger SV Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.12%12.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.73%39.27%
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.65%34.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.94%71.06%
Score Analysis
    Hamburger SV 60%
    Holstein Kiel 19.1%
    Draw 20.9%
Hamburger SVDrawHolstein Kiel
2-1 @ 9.93%
2-0 @ 9.29%
1-0 @ 9.07%
3-1 @ 6.79%
3-0 @ 6.35%
3-2 @ 3.63%
4-1 @ 3.48%
4-0 @ 3.25%
4-2 @ 1.86%
5-1 @ 1.43%
5-0 @ 1.33%
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 60%
1-1 @ 9.69%
2-2 @ 5.31%
0-0 @ 4.42%
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 20.9%
1-2 @ 5.18%
0-1 @ 4.73%
0-2 @ 2.53%
2-3 @ 1.89%
1-3 @ 1.84%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 19.1%

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