Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 50.29%. A win for SV Sandhausen had a probability of 25.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest SV Sandhausen win was 0-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.