Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 36.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.08%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest Greuther Furth win was 1-2 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
