Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greuther Furth win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for Jahn Regensburg had a probability of 34.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greuther Furth win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Jahn Regensburg win was 1-0 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greuther Furth would win this match.