Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greuther Furth win with a probability of 60.23%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Wurzburger Kickers had a probability of 18.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greuther Furth win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 1-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Wurzburger Kickers win it was 1-2 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greuther Furth would win this match.