Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karlsruher SC win with a probability of 45.15%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 29.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Karlsruher SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 0-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.