Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SV Darmstadt 98 win with a probability of 37.93%. A win for Karlsruher SC had a probability of 36.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a SV Darmstadt 98 win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.06%). The likeliest Karlsruher SC win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SV Darmstadt 98 would win this match.