Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 49.5%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Hansa Rostock had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Hansa Rostock win it was 0-1 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nuremberg in this match.