Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karlsruher SC win with a probability of 37.71%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 34.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Karlsruher SC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.11%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 1-0 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.