Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 40.77%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 1-0 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SC Paderborn would win this match.
