Erzgebirge Aue
1 - 3
Nuremberg

Hochscheidt (8')
Jonjic (31')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Dovedan (2', 22', 81')
Tempelmann (6'), Dovedan (58')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Erzgebirge Aue and Nuremberg.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 43.25%. A win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Erzgebirge Aue win was 1-0 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nuremberg would win this match.

Result
Erzgebirge Aue	Draw	Nuremberg
31.61%	25.13%	43.25%

Both teams to score 56.03%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.64%

47.35%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.42%

69.57%

Erzgebirge Aue Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.72%

28.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36%

63.99%

Nuremberg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.12%

21.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.87%

55.12%

Score Analysis

Erzgebirge Aue 31.61%

Nuremberg 43.25%

Draw 25.13%

Erzgebirge Aue	Draw	Nuremberg
1-0 @ 7.81% 2-1 @ 7.5% 2-0 @ 4.94% 3-1 @ 3.16% 3-2 @ 2.4% 3-0 @ 2.08% 4-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.73% Total : 31.61%	1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 6.19% 2-2 @ 5.7% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.13%	0-1 @ 9.4% 1-2 @ 9.02% 0-2 @ 7.14% 1-3 @ 4.57% 0-3 @ 3.62% 2-3 @ 2.89% 1-4 @ 1.74% 0-4 @ 1.38% 2-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.4% Total : 43.25%