Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 41.79%. A win for Wurzburger Kickers had a probability of 33.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Wurzburger Kickers win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Nuremberg in this match.
