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HL
2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Oct 24, 2020 at 12pm UK
Imtech Arena

Hamburger SV
3 - 1
Wurzburger

Terodde (66', 82'), Leibold (90+2')
Kittel (45')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dietz (40')
Sontheimer (37'), Baumann (74'), Hansen (83')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Hamburger SV and Wurzburger Kickers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 64.01%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Wurzburger Kickers had a probability of 16.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 1-0 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.02%), while for a Wurzburger Kickers win it was 1-2 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.

Result
Hamburger SVDrawWurzburger Kickers
64.01%19.52%16.47%
Both teams to score 56.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.17%37.83%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.92%60.08%
Hamburger SV Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.81%11.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.3%35.7%
Wurzburger Kickers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.87%36.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.09%72.91%
Score Analysis
    Hamburger SV 64.01%
    Wurzburger Kickers 16.47%
    Draw 19.52%
Hamburger SVDrawWurzburger Kickers
2-1 @ 9.87%
2-0 @ 9.7%
1-0 @ 8.86%
3-1 @ 7.21%
3-0 @ 7.08%
4-1 @ 3.95%
4-0 @ 3.88%
3-2 @ 3.67%
4-2 @ 2.01%
5-1 @ 1.73%
5-0 @ 1.7%
Other @ 4.37%
Total : 64.01%
1-1 @ 9.02%
2-2 @ 5.03%
0-0 @ 4.04%
3-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 19.52%
1-2 @ 4.59%
0-1 @ 4.12%
0-2 @ 2.1%
2-3 @ 1.71%
1-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 16.47%


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