Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 64.01%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Wurzburger Kickers had a probability of 16.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 1-0 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.02%), while for a Wurzburger Kickers win it was 1-2 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.