SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 39.8%. A win for VfL Osnabruck had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest VfL Osnabruck win was 0-1 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Pauli | Draw | VfL Osnabruck |
| 39.8% | 27.3% | 32.9% |
| Both teams to score 49.54% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.1% | 55.9% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.99% | 77.01% |
| St Pauli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.54% | 27.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.04% | 62.96% |
| VfL Osnabruck Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.3% | 31.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.88% | 68.12% |
| Score Analysis |
| St Pauli | Draw | VfL Osnabruck |
| 1-0 @ 11.25% 2-1 @ 8.35% 2-0 @ 7.27% 3-1 @ 3.6% 3-0 @ 3.13% 3-2 @ 2.07% 4-1 @ 1.16% 4-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.96% Total : 39.8% | 1-1 @ 12.92% 0-0 @ 8.71% 2-2 @ 4.8% Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.29% | 0-1 @ 10% 1-2 @ 7.43% 0-2 @ 5.75% 1-3 @ 2.84% 0-3 @ 2.2% 2-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 2.85% Total : 32.9% |
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