Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 39.8%. A win for VfL Osnabruck had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest VfL Osnabruck win was 0-1 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.