Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 46.2%. A win for Hamburger SV had a probability of 29.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Hamburger SV win was 1-2 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.