Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 42.97%. A win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest SV Darmstadt 98 win was 2-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Holstein Kiel would win this match.
