Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 43.84%. A win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.78%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest SV Darmstadt 98 win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.
