Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Ingolstadt 04 win with a probability of 49.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Nuremberg had a probability of 25.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Ingolstadt 04 win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Nuremberg win it was 1-0 (7.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.