Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 45.87%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 29.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 0-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.