Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lahti win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for Haka had a probability of 36.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lahti win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.77%) and 0-2 (5.82%). The likeliest Haka win was 2-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.