SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 55.89%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Lahti had a probability of 20.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Lahti win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ilves would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ilves | Draw | Lahti |
| 55.89% | 24.05% | 20.05% |
| Both teams to score 48.61% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.09% | 51.91% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.34% | 73.66% |
| Ilves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.56% | 18.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.39% | 49.6% |
| Lahti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.59% | 40.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.98% | 77.02% |
| Score Analysis |
| Ilves | Draw | Lahti |
| 1-0 @ 12.59% 2-0 @ 10.64% 2-1 @ 9.65% 3-0 @ 6% 3-1 @ 5.44% 4-0 @ 2.54% 3-2 @ 2.47% 4-1 @ 2.3% 4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 3.21% Total : 55.88% | 1-1 @ 11.41% 0-0 @ 7.45% 2-2 @ 4.37% Other @ 0.82% Total : 24.05% | 0-1 @ 6.75% 1-2 @ 5.17% 0-2 @ 3.06% 1-3 @ 1.56% 2-3 @ 1.32% 0-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.27% Total : 20.05% |
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