Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 44.32%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Haka had a probability of 27.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 2-1 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.02%), while for a Haka win it was 0-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Honka would win this match.
