Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SJK win with a probability of 36.57%. A win for Honka had a probability of 35.28% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a SJK win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Honka win was 1-0 (11.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for SJK in this match.